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July 01, 2009

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We need to find door number 3. Not wild about Spengler's argument. I've heard it before. Replace the word "referee" with the word "cop" because that's the word most use for this notion. Most Americans, including this one, don't want us to be the world's policeman.

Rob-I generally agree with you that we can't serve as the world's policeman. That said though, there are trade-offs involved. We have many interests, direct and indirect, around the world. Disengage too much and we lose those interests. Get too engaged and we get sucked into things we don't want to be a part of. It's a balancing act and not an easy one for any president. There are too many factors and too many independent players manage and all without a crystal ball.

I think Spengler's point is that American engagement or intervention are not always the worst things when put in their proper context and given some of the alternatives. The fear is that Obama will shy away from less than perfect solutions and create a power vacuum, resulting in some really nasty people getting involved and far worse chaos and carnage for millions. I don't know if that will happen, but I think Spengler is right to at least raise the issue.

I'm not an isolationist and I don't think Spengler made the case that Obama is disengaging. You will never get me to dispute that Obama's approach is both different and worrisome. It most certainly is. However, a word for our enemies is in order about the carrot/stick foreign policy. These are very likely the biggest carrots they are ever going to see from America. The smart play for them is to engage this guy. In that regard, it might not hurt to know just how smart they are.

I think the problem is not the carrots, but that there is a growing suspicion that there is no stick with this guy, unless you are an ally. That's the disengagement I think.

That concerns me, too.

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